The feds have made such deals with malcontent politicians in the past, but the Obama administration still, inexplicably, seems to fear making Arpaio a martyr. I don't see the feds acting any more than I see Santa Claus sliding down Arpaio's chimney with an indictment wrapped in a shiny red bow.
So the 400-plus sex-crime cases in El Mirage, the ganked $100 million, and the crimes committed by Arpaio and his underlings in Joe's witch hunts against his enemies are, in the end, just some of the many bullets that can be used against him.
Arm-in-arm before a backdrop at the federal pen in Kentucky: New Mexican Mafia shot-caller Angel Garcia and his wife, Phoenix defense attorney Carmen Fischer.
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But bullets are worthless without someone to pull the trigger.
What we need is a candidate who can take on Arpaio in a primary or general election in 2012 — and win.
Naysayers carp that Arpaio has $6 million in his election kitty. Well, that's what Arpaio tells us. The last time he had to report campaign finances to county elections officials, it was closer to $2.4 million.
In any case, having more money than your opponent didn't help Russell Pearce in Legislative District 18.
Backtrack for a moment to 2008. Though sheriff's candidate Dan Saban was a severely wounded opponent — he had little money and was all but ostracized by the Democratic Party that recruited him to run — he still pulled 42 percent of the vote. And he managed to get more actual votes than Democratic hopeful for county attorney Tim Nelson.
Nelson had the state and county party on his side and the endorsement of then-Governor Janet Napolitano, and yet he earned about 8,000 votes fewer than Saban.
I'm not suggesting that Saban reconsider and jump into this battle. It's just that there's an anybody-but-Arpaio vote in the county of about 42 percent.
Possible future Arpaio challengers out there — Scottsdale Lieutenant Mike Stauffer, the only official opponent so far, or ex-Phoenix Police Sergeant Paul Penzone, whose name is getting bandied about — fall into this category.
However, the person who's got the big money of both political parties waiting on the sidelines is U.S. Marshal for Arizona David Gonzales.
Gonzales, a Republican, was appointed under President George W. Bush, and was kept on by President Obama, a testament to his nonpartisan effectiveness as a law enforcement official.
Essentially, Gonzales' job on the federal level matches what the sheriff's should be on the county level: He manages the movement of prisoners, oversees inmate custody, hunts fugitives, serves warrants, protects the courts, and investigates wrongdoing.
Tough and educated, with a bachelor's degree from the University of Arizona and a career at the Arizona Department of Public Safety that included a stint as an undercover narcotics agent, he's an affable, experienced public servant whom only crazy GOPers can't get behind.
His problem is twofold — a Hispanic last name and a reputation as a moderate R who has been critical of Arpaio's counterproductive immigration sweeps. As the county Republican Party is currently run by insane Mexican-bashers like county chairman and Arpaio stalwart Rob Haney, observers so far have figured Gonzales stands no chance taking on Arpaio in a GOP primary.
I would counter that this political forecast did not anticipate the public's sudden antipathy for the sheriff's malfeasance when it comes to sex-crime cases. Nor had it bargained for a shift in attitudes over immigration, a shift that helped bring Pearce to his knees in ultra-conservative LD 18.
As for his surname and his ethnicity, there are Archie Bunkers aplenty who will not vote for him over Arpaio.
But he would be helped by Democrats, who will work for any Republican who has a chance of removing Arpaio. And there is a long list of GOPers who secretly loathe Arpaio and want to see the near-80-year-old go down.
A bonus for Gonzales would be Latinos' registering and organizing to vote en masse against Arpaio.
Particularly, if Gonzales decided to run in the general election as an Independent.
Gonzales hasn't commented on his political ambitions; the minute he announces any candidacy, he must resign his federal post.
If he does decide to oppose Arpaio, he'd have to run a brash campaign to win. And he'd have to fire all the bullets that Arpaio has left at the ready.
MAFIA MOLL
Here's a follow-up on last week's column on Phoenix attorney Carmen Fischer, recently kicked off the Arizona District Court's list of referral attorneys because of her marriage to Angel Garcia, a high-ranking member of the New Mexican Mafia.
The photo of Fischer, arm-in-arm with her beloved, was sent my way by an anonymous source. It was taken in 2010 at the federal prison known as "Big Sandy," in Inez, Kentucky. You may wish to note the tattoo of a double-M logo and the words "Mexican Mafia" written above and below it in cursive on Garcia's arm.
Last week, I wrote that the State Bar of Arizona has an outstanding complaint against Fischer. Though the Bar has declined to comment further, I have learned that the bar is scheduled to hold a probable-cause hearing on January 13 to address ethics charges against her.
Allegations include Fischer's representing Garcia and a defendant whose case butted heads with Garcia's. The Bar complaint also claims that Fischer gave one of her clients intelligence on police informants and that she advised this same individual of an FBI sting targeting him.