Feathered Bastard

Joe Arpaio on the Run from Paul Penzone, Mike Stauffer the Goat in New Poll (w/Update)

See also: Stauffer Must Exit Sheriff's Race or Forever Be the Goat See also: Mike Stauffer's Third-Wheel Bid for Sheriff May Keep Arpaio in Office See also: Joe Arpaio Stooge Mike Stauffer a "Republican Candidate," Writes West Kenyon, Campaign Manager See also: Joe Arpaio-Wannabe Mike Stauffer Flips Out, Calls Non-Threat "Vaguely Threatening"

A new poll of 850 likely Maricopa County voters done on September 10, shows Sheriff Joe Arpaio below 50 percent, barely leading Democratic challenger Paul Penzone by a mere 5.5 points, 44.5 percent to 39 percent. This, according to information provided by the pollster.

The automated telephone survey, performed by the D.C. firm Switchboard Communications and commissioned by the Penzone camp, shows a plus or minus 4 percent margin of error, and notes that, "the sample consists of self-identified voters at 41.3% Republican, 33.5%, Democrat, 22.8% Independent, and 2.4% Other."

Read Switchboard's press release on its new poll of Maricopa County voters on the race for sheriff.

Notably, Switchboard's survey was done after the U.S. Attorney's Office for Arizona announced that it was dropping the criminal investigation into wrongdoing by Arpaio and the MCSO. One would have anticipated Joe's good news to give him a bump.

But the poll shows Arpaio's favorability rating in the dumps, with 46.7 percent of respondents having a somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable view of the sheriff.

Stephen Hill, a partner at Switchboard, described the gap between Arpaio and Penzone as volatile.