The poll commissioned by Greg Stanton, a candidate in the Phoenix mayor's race, reveals he has maintained a strong lead over his challenger Wes Gullett.
(Of course it does ... otherwise he wouldn't have released it and a detailed memo Camp Stanton received from Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (FM3), the opinion-research firm that conducted the poll.)
The poll probed likely voters from September 6 to September 8 and found that half of them prefer the former councilman over Gullett, a founding member of a Valley lobbying firm. About 30 percent of voters say they will choose Gullett.
While Stanton has been criticized by his opponents for running a partisan campaign, the poll suggestes that Stanton's lead comes from a diverse group of Phoenix voters:
Men by 49 percent to 32 percent, and women by 51 percent to 28 percent.
Voters under age 55 by 54 percent to 28 percent, and voters age 55 and over by 48 percent to 31 percent.
College-educated voters by 56 percent to 29 percent, and non-college voters by 44 percent to 31 percent.
White voters by 48 percent to 33 percent, and Latinos by 73 percent to 5 percent.
Democrats by 77 percent to 7 percent, and independents by 45 percent to 30 percent, and with Republicans, Stanton gets 28 percent of the vote to Gullett's 51 percent.
Gullett has been trying to shake the lobbyist label since the mayor's race got under way. Although he is the founding partner in FirstStrategic, one of the largest lobbying firms in the state, Gullett identifies himself as a strategic planner. And with good reason.
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The poll also shows that 60 percent of voters perceive Gullett to be a lobbyist while 77 percent have an unfavorable view of lobbyists.
Stanton, according to the poll, generally is favorably perceived by likely voters.
Here are the results when they were asked to identify which candidate was best described by a series of statements:
"Will set high ethical standards" (Best describes Stanton 45 percent; Best describes
Gullett 25 percent).
"Will do a better job of managing City finances" (Stanton 44 percent, Gullett 29 percent).
"Shares my values" (Stanton 41 percent, Gullett 22 percent).
"Cares about average people" (Stanton 41 percent, Gullett 21 percent).
"Has a strong vision for the City" (Stanton 41 percent, Gullett 33 percent).
"Is honest and someone we can trust" (Stanton 40 percent, Gullett 19 percent).
"Would bring change to City Hall" (Stanton 38 percent, Gullett 32 percent).
"Is too close to special interests" (Stanton 17 percent, Gullett 49 percent).